Cinquantamila.it La storia raccontata da Giorgio Dell'Arti

REPUBBLICA.IT
NEW YORK - Gli Stati Uniti stanno per perdere il loro primato e si apprestano a consegnare alla Cina lo scettro di prima economia al mondo, che detenevano dal 1872, quando lo sottrassero alla Gran Bretagna. Un sorpasso, quello della Cina, che avverrà molto prima del previsto 2019, forse già quest’anno. E’ quanto emerge - riporta il Financial Times - da uno studio dell’International Comparison Program della Banca Mondiale, aggiornato per la prima volta dal 2005.
GUARDA TABELLE E GRAFICI DEL RAPPORTO ICP
Secondo lo studio, nel 2005 l’economia cinese era circa la metà di quella statunitense. Nel 2011 è arrivata invece all’87% di quella americana. Merito non solo della crescita cinese ma anche delle modifiche nel metodo di calcolo ora basato sulla parità dei poteri d’acquisto (purchasing power parity, PPP) considerato più affidabile per questo tipo di comparazione. Nel 2011 "gli Stati Uniti restano la prima economia al mondo, seguita da vicino dalla Cina" scrivono gli analisti nel rapporto.
Ora il Financial Times a partire da questi dati e considerando la crescita cinese del 24% dal 2011 al 2014 a fronte del 7,6% di quella americana, secondo il Fondo Monetario Internazionale, arriva alla conclusione che la Cina sta per superare gli Stati Uniti proprio quest’anno.
sulla base di questi dati la classifica internazionale è rivoluzionata:
l’India si afferma come terza economia al mondo e la top 12 include anche Russia, Brasile, Indonesia e Messico. I paesi più ricchi al mondo continuano a rappresentare il 50% del pil mondiale nonostante abbiano solo il 17% della popolazione globale.

CORRIERE.IT
Per la prima volta dal 1872 - quando superarono il Regno Unito - gli Usa non sono più la prima potenza economica mondiale- Stando a quanto ricostruisce il «Financial Times», gli Stati Uniti sono sul punto di perdere il loro «status» di più grande economia del mondo scivolando dietro la Cina già quest’anno. Quindi molto prima di quanto finora previsto, ovvero il 2019. L’Italia resta all’ottavo posto.
Lo studio
A tracciare il nuovo assetto economico mondiale sono i dati raccolti dal Programma di confronto internazionale della Banca Mondiale. Si tratta delle stime più autorevoli di ciò che il denaro può comprare in diversi paesi e sono utilizzati dalla maggior parte delle organizzazioni del settore pubblico e privato, come il Fondo monetario internazionale. È la prima volta che sono state aggiornate dal 2005. Allora l’Icp stimava che l’economia cinese fosse meno della metà delle dimensioni degli Stati Uniti, appena il 43%. Secondo il nuovo studio nel 2011 il pil cinese era pari all’87% di quello americano. Il risultato: per il 2011 «gli Stati Uniti restano la prima economia al mondo, seguita da vicino dalla Cina» se il calcolo viene effettuato sul costo della vita reale, ovvero sulla parità dei poteri d’acquisto («purchasing power parity», PPP). Il Fmi si aspetta quindi che l’economia cinese cresca del 24% tra il 2011 e il 2014, mentre negli Stati Uniti aumenterà solo del 7,6%. Stando così le cose la Cina rischia di superare gli Stati Uniti quest’anno.
L’Italia ferma all’ottavo posto
I dati dello studio rivoluzionano l’immagine del panorama economico mondiale, aumentando l’importanza dei paesi a reddito medio grandi. L’India diventa la terza economia, era al decimo posto nel 2005. La dimensione della sua economia è quasi raddoppiata: dal 19% del pil degli Stati Uniti nel 2005 è salita al 37% nel 2011. Russia, Brasile, Indonesia e Messico fanno parte della top 12 nella tabella globale. Al contrario, alti costi e minor crescita spingono il Regno Unito e Giappone più indietro degli Stati Uniti rispetto alle tabelle 2005, mentre la Germania ha migliorato la sua posizione relativa e l’Italia è rimasta all’ottavo posto. I paesi ricchi del mondo rappresentano ancora il 50% del PIL globale, mentre rappresentano solo il 17% della popolazione mondiale. Dopo aver confrontato il costo effettivo della vita nei diversi paesi, la relazione ha anche riscontrato che i quattro paesi più cari in cui vivere sono la Svizzera, la Norvegia, Bermuda e l’Australia. I più economici sono Egitto, Pakistan, Myanmar e l’Etiopia.

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2616806/American-dollar-hits-wall-China-prepares-leap-place-worlds-largest-economy-end-year.html
A report out of the World Bank shows rapidly expanding China is poised to overtake the once invincible United States as the world’s largest economy by the end of 2014.
The International Comparison Program looks at exchange rates to reveal purchasing power of different currencies and found that yuan in China will soon pack more punch than the mighty dollar.
Meanwhile, Chinese officials bashed the report as flawed, likely for fear of losing its status as a developing nation and the pollution-spewing perks that come with it.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2616806/American-dollar-hits-wall-China-prepares-leap-place-worlds-largest-economy-end-year.html#ixzz30OSmO9BV
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Death knell rings for 142 years of American dominance as China prepares to leap into first place as world’s largest economy

A report out of the World Bank indicates that Chinese purchasing power will surpass that of America in 2014
The International Comparison Program is conducted every six years and accounts for exchange rates as it examines worldwide living standards
China refused to endorse the findings for fear of losing its designation as a developing nation--and the lax environmental standards that come with it
The report shows India will charge out of 10th place to take Japan’s number 3 spot
America’s economic dominance has lasted since the 1880s

By Joshua Gardner and Associated Press

Published: 13:48 GMT, 30 April 2014 | Updated: 15:20 GMT, 30 April 2014

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A report out of the World Bank shows rapidly expanding China is poised to overtake the once invincible United States as the world’s largest economy by the end of 2014.

The International Comparison Program looks at exchange rates to reveal purchasing power of different currencies and found that yuan in China will soon pack more punch than the mighty dollar.

Meanwhile, Chinese officials bashed the report as flawed, likely for fear of losing its status as a developing nation and the pollution-spewing perks that come with it.
Don’t count on it: The once invincible American dollar will slip behind China’s yuan in terms of purchasing power by the end of 2014, according a World Bank report
+2

Don’t count on it: The once invincible American dollar will slip behind China’s yuan in terms of purchasing power by the end of 2014, according a World Bank report

China’s biggest Asian competitor, India, leaps over Japan from its previous tenth place to become the world’s third strongest economy, the report finds.

The estimate says that, based on 2011 prices, the purchasing power of the yuan was much stronger than was reflected by exchange rates.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2616806/American-dollar-hits-wall-China-prepares-leap-place-worlds-largest-economy-end-year.html#ixzz30OSwlT17
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook



Death knell rings for 142 years of American dominance as China prepares to leap into first place as world’s largest economy

A report out of the World Bank indicates that Chinese purchasing power will surpass that of America in 2014
The International Comparison Program is conducted every six years and accounts for exchange rates as it examines worldwide living standards
China refused to endorse the findings for fear of losing its designation as a developing nation--and the lax environmental standards that come with it
The report shows India will charge out of 10th place to take Japan’s number 3 spot
America’s economic dominance has lasted since the 1880s

By Joshua Gardner and Associated Press

Published: 13:48 GMT, 30 April 2014 | Updated: 15:20 GMT, 30 April 2014

137 shares

39

View
comments

A report out of the World Bank shows rapidly expanding China is poised to overtake the once invincible United States as the world’s largest economy by the end of 2014.

The International Comparison Program looks at exchange rates to reveal purchasing power of different currencies and found that yuan in China will soon pack more punch than the mighty dollar.

Meanwhile, Chinese officials bashed the report as flawed, likely for fear of losing its status as a developing nation and the pollution-spewing perks that come with it.
Don’t count on it: The once invincible American dollar will slip behind China’s yuan in terms of purchasing power by the end of 2014, according a World Bank report
+2

Don’t count on it: The once invincible American dollar will slip behind China’s yuan in terms of purchasing power by the end of 2014, according a World Bank report

China’s biggest Asian competitor, India, leaps over Japan from its previous tenth place to become the world’s third strongest economy, the report finds.

The estimate says that, based on 2011 prices, the purchasing power of the yuan was much stronger than was reflected by exchange rates.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2616806/American-dollar-hits-wall-China-prepares-leap-place-worlds-largest-economy-end-year.html#ixzz30OSwlT17
Follow us: @MailOnline on Twitter | DailyMail on Facebook


The statistics bureau ‘expressed reservations’ about the study’s methodology and ‘did not agree to publish the headline results for China,’ the report said.

A figure was estimated anyway by researchers, but ‘the NBS of China does not endorse these results as official statistics,’ the report said.

China’s government has been reluctant to acknowledge previous milestones showing its economic rise when it passed Germany as the biggest exporter, Japan as the No. 2 economy and the United States as the biggest trader.

Its leaders have emphasized China’s status as a middle-income country in resisting pressure to adopt binding limits on greenhouse gas emissions, for which their country is the biggest source.

The International Comparison Program, conducted every six years, is meant to allow comparisons of living standards in countries with widely varying prices.

The results are a good tool for understanding living conditions for Chinese families but other uses are limited, said Mark Williams, chief Asia economist for Capital Economics.

‘It does bring home the sheer size of the Chinese economy, in the services and goods and that people in China are producing,’ Williams said.

‘Where it falls short is that it doesn’t really tell us about China’s economic standing relative to the rest of the world,’ he said. ‘When it comes to China’s purchasing power abroad, we need to look at the figures adjusted for market exchange rates.’

The death knell for 142 years of American dominance came just as the U.S. economy slowed drastically in the first three months of the year as a harsh winter exacted a toll on business activity.
Asia’s rise: The World Bank’s International Comparison program conducts a survey every six years to determine relative living conditions and purchasing power world wide. The most recent results indicated China’s imminent rise to the top and show India has already leap-frogged past Japan to become the number 3 world economic power
+2

Asia’s rise: The World Bank’s International Comparison program conducts a survey every six years to determine relative living conditions and purchasing power world wide. The most recent results indicated China’s imminent rise to the top and show India has already leap-frogged past Japan to become the number 3 world economic power

The sharp slowdown, while worse than expected, is likely to be temporary as growth rebounds with warmer weather.

The economy’s growth slowed to a barely discernible 0.1 percent annual rate in the January-March quarter, the Commerce Department said Wednesday.

That was the weakest pace since the end of 2012 and was down from a 2.6 percent growth rate in the October-December quarter.

Consumer spending grew at a 3 percent rate. But that gain was dominated by a 4.4 percent rise in spending on services, reflecting higher utility bills. Spending on goods barely rose.

Also dampening growth were a drop in business investment, a rise in the trade deficit and a fall in housing construction.

The International Monetary Fund has forecast China’s economic growth this year at 7.5 percent, nearly triple the 2.8 percent outlook for the United States.

With its much larger population of 1.3 billion people, China barely ranks in the top 100 countries for income per person.

The report is a reminder that Chinese consumers only have about one-tenth as much money to spend as Americans, said economist Brian Jackson of IHS Global Insight. That is about half the world average, on par with the Philippines, Bolivia or Iraq.

Sellers of consumer goods ‘may find it discouraging, given it implies a relatively low cost regime for final sales,’ Jackson said in an email.

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2616806/American-dollar-hits-wall-China-prepares-leap-place-worlds-largest-economy-end-year.html#ixzz30OT6uM1c
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Japan, South Korea, Malaysia and the Philippines